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Who is most likely to win the presidential election?

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The news is important, so I decided to change your ideas and take on a fun topic, the presidential election. The only thing left that’s a bit funny is politics, my friend. Jean Leymarie probably won’t agree with me. I still found something to make you smile – hopefully – with a survey that evaluates the electoral potential of 70 personalities. You might not believe it, but you have a place there because it’s a real political Noah’s Ark: Michel-Édouard Leclerc, Francis Lalanne, Tony Estanguet, Louis Sarkozy, Anne Hidalgo, at 12%, Teddy Riner, Patrick Sébastien, tied with 13%.

We are not sure whether we are consulting a political barometer, the phone book, a variety show program, or what. In short, it’s a list of sometimes unexpected, sometimes disappeared, sometimes never appeared figures that, in this big statistical center, sometimes reach double-digit scores.

So, we have entered a new era, one of politics dissolved in big data, with the possibility of measuring everything and anything, reducing politics to a race of small horses where everything is tested and aggregated in the hope that by some miracle, voters will eventually agree, which for now is part of a funny casting.

A survey that measures something, but what? This reminds me of the famous phrase by Binet, the inventor of IQ tests: “My test measures something, but I don’t know exactly what.” This survey definitely measures something, but what? We are not sure. It’s a real breakthrough. Breakthroughs that may say less about the candidates than about the survey methodology or their ability to measure anything.

For example, Louis Sarkozy, who did not qualify for the second round of the municipal elections in our lovely city of Menton – where lemons are serious business, is credited with 11% in a presidential election. I’m not sure what his program is, what his vision is. Same dilemma for Patrick Sébastien, who also has 13% of who knows what in a presidential election. On television, I’m not sure if he had that audience share.

I found, for example, 4 personalities at 7%: Rima Hassan, Éric Piolle, Jean-Marc Jancovici, and Matthieu Pigasse. Perfect equality, an equality that doesn’t clarify much. I wonder why Céline Dion wasn’t tested? In this competition, she has every chance.

If you have other ideas, feel free to write to me.